Premier League Fixture Importance Ratings 2024-12-20

Importance percentages are the maximum that difference in a team’s season outlook based on having a heavy win vs a heavy defeat in the specified fixture. It is normalised by the team’s expected season finish as from the simulations from the prior gameweek.

Team Ratings are derived from XPI (Expected Performance Index) It represents if a goal is scored in an average match involving the team how much more likely is it they scored rather than conceded.

Averages are always the harmonic mean of both teams.