Premier League Predicted Table 2026-01-05
Ah, that’s where Wolves will get their points from.
Premier League Predicted Table 2026-01-02
Finish Delta is from the “start of the season” simulation that I ran quickly.. definitely take those with a grain of salt. 19 gameweeks is enough time for the Glicko ratings to catch up and get us slightly better ideas of how good the teams are.
Back for the second half of the season to answer all of your burning questions:
Why is no one talking about this season’s severe lack of goals?
Why was my script from last season written by a brainrotted 7 year old?
Are these team ratings even remotely accurate?
Where on earth are Wolves going to get another 19 points from?
Premier League Fixture Importances 2025-01-03
Is Sachin better than our prediction model?
Importance percentages are the maximum that difference in a team’s season outlook based on having a heavy win vs a heavy defeat in the specified fixture. It is normalised by the team’s expected season finish as from the simulations from the prior gameweek.
Team Ratings are derived from XPI (Expected Performance Index) It represents if a goal is scored in an average match involving the team how much more likely is it they scored rather than conceded.
Averages are always the harmonic mean of both teams.