Premier League Table & European Qualification Prediction 2026-04-14

Changed the probabilities to top 5 now that we know they all qualify for UCL

I imagine I’m going to cop some flak for how strongly I the model considers Arsenal favourites for the title. I’ll post some analysis midweek to justify the seemingly irrational confidence. In the meantime I’ve double checked all inputs and the model disagrees with Wayne Rooney so it’s probably correct.

Added delta in % since the previous round of Premier League and European fixtures.